Derby County vs Birmingham City: predictions, H2H and market odds

Derby County have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.30 expected goals for, 1.23 against). Birmingham City have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.28 expected goals for, 1.26 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Derby County's recent matches and 50% of Birmingham City's; 50% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 3 meetings Derby County won 0, Birmingham City won 1 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 26 Dec 2025, finished Birmingham City 1–1 Derby County.