Deportivo Alavés vs Osasuna: predictions, H2H and market odds

Deportivo Alavés have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.37 expected goals for, 1.11 against). Osasuna have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.47 expected goals for, 1.09 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Deportivo Alavés's recent matches and 60% of Osasuna's; 50% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 8 meetings Deportivo Alavés won 0, Osasuna won 5 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 5 Apr 2026, finished Deportivo Alavés 2–2 Osasuna.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 38%. Kepler's model projects 1.27–0.98 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.