Crewe Alexandra vs Rochdale: predictions, H2H and market odds

Crewe Alexandra have won 4, drawn 6 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded (1.12 expected goals for, 1.19 against). Rochdale have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.10 expected goals for, 1.12 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Crewe Alexandra's recent matches and 40% of Rochdale's; 20% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 2 meetings Crewe Alexandra won 1, Rochdale won 0 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 25 Feb 2023, finished Crewe Alexandra 1–1 Rochdale.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 50%. Kepler's model projects 1.44–0.86 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 54%.