Crewe Alexandra vs Bristol Rovers: predictions, H2H and market odds

Crewe Alexandra have won 2, drawn 7 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (0.98 expected goals for, 1.37 against). Bristol Rovers have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.40 expected goals for, 1.11 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Crewe Alexandra's recent matches and 30% of Bristol Rovers's; 10% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 2 meetings Crewe Alexandra won 0, Bristol Rovers won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 7 Mar 2026, finished Bristol Rovers 2–1 Crewe Alexandra.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 53%. Kepler's model projects 1.39–1.10 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 55%.