Coventry City vs Newcastle United: predictions, H2H and market odds

Coventry City have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.26 expected goals for, 1.11 against). Newcastle United have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.30 expected goals for, 1.48 against).

Both teams scored in 30% of Coventry City's recent matches and 70% of Newcastle United's; 50% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. The two have no previous meeting in our data.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 59%. Kepler's model projects 0.27–1.75 in expected goals, with 0–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.