Colchester United vs Exeter City: predictions, H2H and market odds

Colchester United have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.39 expected goals for, 1.61 against). Exeter City have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded (1.16 expected goals for, 1.12 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Colchester United's recent matches and 20% of Exeter City's; 50% and 10% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 2 meetings Colchester United won 1, Exeter City won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 15 Apr 2022, finished Exeter City 2–0 Colchester United.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 45%. Kepler's model projects 0.55–0.56 in expected goals, with 0–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 45%.