Chesterfield vs Tranmere Rovers: predictions, H2H and market odds

Chesterfield have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.66 expected goals for, 1.22 against). Tranmere Rovers have won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.34 expected goals for, 1.23 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Chesterfield's recent matches and 50% of Tranmere Rovers's; 40% and 30% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 4 meetings Chesterfield won 1, Tranmere Rovers won 1 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 11 Apr 2026, finished Chesterfield 1–1 Tranmere Rovers.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 58%. Kepler's model projects 1.86–0.94 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.