Chelsea vs Manchester City: predictions, H2H and market odds

Chelsea have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.33 expected goals for, 1.75 against). Manchester City have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.48 expected goals for, 1.37 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Chelsea's recent matches and 60% of Manchester City's; 70% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 9 meetings Chelsea won 0, Manchester City won 6 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 4 Jan 2026, finished Manchester City 1–1 Chelsea.