Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion: predictions, H2H and market odds

Chelsea have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded (0.99 expected goals for, 1.88 against). Brighton & Hove Albion have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.76 expected goals for, 1.26 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Chelsea's recent matches and 30% of Brighton & Hove Albion's; 70% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 10 meetings Chelsea won 3, Brighton & Hove Albion won 5 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 21 Apr 2026, finished Brighton & Hove Albion 3–0 Chelsea.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.