Charlton Athletic vs Portsmouth: predictions, H2H and market odds

Charlton Athletic have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.11 expected goals for, 1.33 against). Portsmouth have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.14 expected goals for, 1.32 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Charlton Athletic's recent matches and 60% of Portsmouth's; 60% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 8 meetings Charlton Athletic won 3, Portsmouth won 2 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 17 Feb 2026, finished Charlton Athletic 1–3 Portsmouth.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 44%. Kepler's model projects 1.22–0.99 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.