Kepler

FixturesLa Liga 2 · Spain · Round 6

Kick-off: Sun, 20 Sept 2026 · 14:15 UTCStadium: Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta

Ceuta

1 – 1Full time

Real Valladolid

Ceuta vs Real Valladolid head to head

In their last 2 meetings Ceuta won 0, Real Valladolid won 2 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 17 Jan 2026, finished Ceuta 0–3 Real Valladolid.

0Wins

0Draws

2Wins

17 Jan 2026CeutaReal Valladolid030-3
15 Aug 2025Real ValladolidCeuta303-0

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Ceuta vs Real Valladolid predicted score

Expected goals

1.35–1.18

Most likely score

1–1

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	54%	53%
Over 2.5	48%	45%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Ceuta vs Real Valladolid odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.83	bet365	53.3%
No	2.00	Betfair	46.7%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	2.17	Pinnacle	44.6%
Under 2.5	1.82	1xbet	55.4%

odds updated 13:58 UTC · 7 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

Start 14-day free trial

Free for 14 days. Cancel any time.

Referee

Saúl Ais Reig

Spain

Yellow cards: 4.3 per match
Red cards: 0.75 per match
Fouls: 22.3 per match
Penalties: 0.0 per match

Matches this season: 4

Kepler in La Liga 2

7 settled picks · ROI −72.6% · average CLV −1.45%

Full track record →