Ceuta vs Real Valladolid: predictions, H2H and market odds

Ceuta have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 2.1 conceded (1.18 expected goals for, 1.73 against). Real Valladolid have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (0.99 expected goals for, 1.50 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Ceuta's recent matches and 30% of Real Valladolid's; 50% and 30% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 2 meetings Ceuta won 0, Real Valladolid won 2 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 17 Jan 2026, finished Ceuta 0–3 Real Valladolid.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 45%. Kepler's model projects 1.35–1.18 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.