Celta de Vigo vs Racing Santander: predictions, H2H and market odds

Celta de Vigo have won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.05 expected goals for, 1.27 against). Racing Santander have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded (1.60 expected goals for, 1.55 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Celta de Vigo's recent matches and 90% of Racing Santander's; 20% and 80% went over 2.5 goals. The two have no previous meeting in our data.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 55%. Kepler's model projects 2.73–1.63 in expected goals, with 2–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.