Kepler

FixturesLa Liga 2 · Spain · Round 8

Kick-off: Sun, 4 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTCStadium: Nou Estadi Castalia, Castellón de la Plana

Castellón

1 – 1Full time

Ceuta

Castellón vs Ceuta head to head

In their last 2 meetings Castellón won 0, Ceuta won 0 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 9 May 2026, finished Ceuta 1–1 Castellón.

0Wins

2Draws

0Wins

9 May 2026CeutaCastellón111-1
14 Sept 2025CastellónCeuta333-3

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Castellón vs Ceuta predicted score

Expected goals

2.46–0.98

Most likely score

2–0

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	55%	54%
Over 2.5	65%	71%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Castellón vs Ceuta odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.73	Betfair	53.6%
No	2.10	BetVictor	46.4%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	1.35	Pinnacle	71.0%
Under 2.5	3.40	bet365	29.0%

odds updated 16:04 UTC · 6 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

Start 14-day free trial

Free for 14 days. Cancel any time.

Referee

Marta Huerta de Aza

Spain

Yellow cards: 5.7 per match
Red cards: 0.0 per match
Fouls: 26.0 per match
Penalties: 0.33 per match

Matches this season: 3

Kepler in La Liga 2

7 settled picks · ROI −72.6% · average CLV −1.45%

Full track record →