Castellón vs Ceuta: predictions, H2H and market odds

Castellón have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 0.7 conceded (1.59 expected goals for, 1.01 against). Ceuta have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.1 conceded (1.10 expected goals for, 1.76 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Castellón's recent matches and 50% of Ceuta's; 50% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 2 meetings Castellón won 0, Ceuta won 0 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 9 May 2026, finished Ceuta 1–1 Castellón.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 71%. Kepler's model projects 2.46–0.98 in expected goals, with 2–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.