Cardiff City vs Charlton Athletic: predictions, H2H and market odds

Cardiff City have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (1.96 expected goals for, 1.74 against). Charlton Athletic have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.07 expected goals for, 1.34 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Cardiff City's recent matches and 60% of Charlton Athletic's; 50% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. The two have no previous meeting in our data.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 59%. Kepler's model projects 1.05–0.99 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.