Calcio Padova vs Virtus Entella: predictions, H2H and market odds

Calcio Padova have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.18 expected goals for, 1.63 against). Virtus Entella have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.15 expected goals for, 1.12 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Calcio Padova's recent matches and 60% of Virtus Entella's; 30% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 2 meetings Calcio Padova won 1, Virtus Entella won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 25 Apr 2026, finished Virtus Entella 1–0 Calcio Padova.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 41%. Kepler's model projects 1.10–0.91 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 53%.