Burnley vs Manchester City: predictions, H2H and market odds

Burnley have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 2.3 conceded (1.08 expected goals for, 1.35 against). Manchester City have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (1.59 expected goals for, 1.16 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Burnley's recent matches and 60% of Manchester City's; 50% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 5 meetings Burnley won 0, Manchester City won 5 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 27 Sept 2025, finished Manchester City 5–1 Burnley.