Burnley vs Derby County head to head

In their last 2 meetings Burnley won 0, Derby County won 0 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 8 Apr 2025, finished Derby County 0–0 Burnley.

0Wins

2Draws

0Wins

8 Apr 2025Derby CountyBurnley000-0
10 Dec 2024BurnleyDerby County000-0

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Burnley vs Derby County predicted score

Expected goals

1.69–0.75

Most likely score

1–0

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	54%	55%
Over 2.5	52%	52%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Burnley vs Derby County odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.73	Betfair	54.8%
No	2.10	Betfair	45.2%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	1.87	Sbo	52.2%
Under 2.5	2.03	Pinnacle	47.8%

odds updated 13:56 UTC · 7 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Stephen Martin

England

Yellow cards: 4.8 per match
Red cards: 0.25 per match
Fouls: 23.3 per match
Penalties: 0.25 per match

Matches this season: 4

Kepler in Championship

28 settled picks · ROI −15.3% · average CLV −3.35%

Full track record →