Kepler

FixturesLa Liga 2 · Spain · Round 7

Kick-off: Sun, 27 Sept 2026 · 16:30 UTCStadium: Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, Burgos

Burgos

1 – 0Full time

Eldense

Burgos vs Eldense head to head

In their last 4 meetings Burgos won 1, Eldense won 2 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 29 Mar 2025, finished Eldense 0–0 Burgos.

1Wins

1Draws

2Wins

29 Mar 2025EldenseBurgos000-0
8 Dec 2024BurgosEldense101-0
10 May 2024BurgosEldense121-2
5 Nov 2023EldenseBurgos202-0

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Burgos vs Eldense predicted score

Expected goals

1.38–0.68

Most likely score

1–0

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	49%	50%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Burgos vs Eldense odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	2.00	bet365	50.0%
No	1.87	Betfair	50.0%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	2.35	Sbo	41.3%
Under 2.5	1.70	1xbet	58.7%

odds updated 15:31 UTC · 7 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Abraham Domínguez Cervantes

Spain

Yellow cards: 5.6 per match
Red cards: 0.0 per match
Fouls: 26.8 per match
Penalties: 0.2 per match

Matches this season: 5

Kepler in La Liga 2

7 settled picks · ROI −72.6% · average CLV −1.45%

Full track record →