Burgos vs Eldense: predictions, H2H and market odds

Burgos have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.7 conceded (1.14 expected goals for, 1.03 against). Eldense have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.18 expected goals for, 1.78 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Burgos's recent matches and 50% of Eldense's; 40% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 4 meetings Burgos won 1, Eldense won 2 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 29 Mar 2025, finished Eldense 0–0 Burgos.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 41%. Kepler's model projects 1.38–0.68 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 49%.