Brighton & Hove Albion vs Leeds United: predictions, H2H and market odds

Brighton & Hove Albion have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.81 expected goals for, 1.37 against). Leeds United have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (1.30 expected goals for, 1.57 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Brighton & Hove Albion's recent matches and 50% of Leeds United's; 80% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 6 meetings Brighton & Hove Albion won 2, Leeds United won 1 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 17 May 2026, finished Leeds United 1–0 Brighton & Hove Albion.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 54%. Kepler's model projects 1.74–1.17 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.