Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa: predictions, H2H and market odds

Brighton & Hove Albion have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.69 expected goals for, 1.30 against). Aston Villa have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.9 conceded (1.48 expected goals for, 1.50 against).

Both teams scored in 30% of Brighton & Hove Albion's recent matches and 80% of Aston Villa's; 60% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 10 meetings Brighton & Hove Albion won 1, Aston Villa won 8 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 11 Feb 2026, finished Aston Villa 1–0 Brighton & Hove Albion.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.