Kepler

FixturesPremier League · England · Round 5

Kick-off: Fri, 18 Sept 2026 · 19:00 UTCStadium: Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford

Brentford

3 – 0Full time

Chelsea

Brentford vs Chelsea head to head

In their last 10 meetings Brentford won 3, Chelsea won 3 and 4 ended level. The most recent, on 17 Jan 2026, finished Chelsea 2–0 Brentford.

3Wins

4Draws

3Wins

17 Jan 2026ChelseaBrentford202-0
13 Sept 2025BrentfordChelsea222-2
6 Apr 2025BrentfordChelsea000-0
15 Dec 2024ChelseaBrentford212-1
2 Mar 2024BrentfordChelsea222-2
28 Oct 2023ChelseaBrentford020-2
26 Apr 2023ChelseaBrentford020-2
19 Oct 2022BrentfordChelsea000-0
2 Apr 2022ChelseaBrentford141-4
16 Oct 2021BrentfordChelsea010-1

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Brentford vs Chelsea predicted score

Expected goals

1.64–1.51

Most likely score

1–1

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	64%	68%
Over 2.5	62%	64%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Brentford vs Chelsea odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.44	bet365	68.2%
No	3.00	Betfair	31.8%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	1.50	bet365	63.9%
Under 2.5	2.66	Pinnacle	36.1%

odds updated 15:40 UTC · 6 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Andy Madley

England

Yellow cards: 4.0 per match
Red cards: 0.0 per match
Fouls: 23.0 per match
Penalties: 0.0 per match

Matches this season: 4

Kepler in Premier League

11 settled picks · ROI −22.6% · average CLV −4.33%

Full track record →