Kepler

FixturesChampionship · England · Round 9

Kick-off: Sat, 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTCStadium: University of Bolton Stadium, Bolton

Bolton Wanderers

1 – 2Full time

Stoke City

Bolton Wanderers vs Stoke City head to head

Bolton Wanderers and Stoke City have not met in the matches we hold.

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Bolton Wanderers vs Stoke City predicted score

Expected goals

1.55–1.39

Most likely score

1–1

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	62%	56%
Over 2.5	55%	49%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Bolton Wanderers vs Stoke City odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.72	bet365	56.3%
No	2.15	Betfair	43.7%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	1.98	Pinnacle	49.1%
Under 2.5	1.91	Pinnacle	50.9%

odds updated 13:05 UTC · 7 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Thomas Kirk

England

Yellow cards: 3.0 per match
Red cards: 0.33 per match
Fouls: 20.3 per match
Penalties: 0.0 per match

Matches this season: 3

Kepler in Championship

28 settled picks · ROI −15.3% · average CLV −3.35%

Full track record →