Kepler

FixturesChampionship · England · Round 7

Kick-off: Sat, 12 Sept 2026 · 11:30 UTCStadium: University of Bolton Stadium, Bolton

Bolton Wanderers

1 – 0Full time

Cardiff City

Bolton Wanderers vs Cardiff City head to head

In their last 2 meetings Bolton Wanderers won 1, Cardiff City won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 11 Apr 2026, finished Cardiff City 2–0 Bolton Wanderers.

1Wins

0Draws

1Wins

11 Apr 2026Cardiff CityBolton Wanderers202-0
25 Oct 2025Bolton WanderersCardiff City101-0

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Bolton Wanderers vs Cardiff City predicted score

Expected goals

1.40–1.39

Most likely score

1–1

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	67%	65%
Over 2.5	63%	62%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Bolton Wanderers vs Cardiff City odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.53	Unibet	65.2%
No	2.70	Betfair	34.8%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	1.66	Unibet	62.2%
Under 2.5	2.55	Pinnacle	37.8%

odds updated 10:20 UTC · 9 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Thomas Parsons

England

Yellow cards: 6.0 per match
Red cards: 0.5 per match
Fouls: 25.0 per match
Penalties: 0.0 per match

Matches this season: 2

Kepler in Championship

28 settled picks · ROI −15.3% · average CLV −3.35%

Full track record →