Blackburn Rovers vs Cardiff City: predictions, H2H and market odds

Blackburn Rovers have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.16 expected goals for, 1.24 against). Cardiff City have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (2.05 expected goals for, 1.76 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of Blackburn Rovers's recent matches and 80% of Cardiff City's; 80% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 8 meetings Blackburn Rovers won 5, Cardiff City won 2 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 15 Mar 2025, finished Blackburn Rovers 1–2 Cardiff City.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 59%. Kepler's model projects 1.46–0.92 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.