Birmingham City vs Southampton: predictions, H2H and market odds

Birmingham City have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.34 expected goals for, 1.18 against). Southampton have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.34 expected goals for, 1.27 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Birmingham City's recent matches and 80% of Southampton's; 50% and 90% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 4 meetings Birmingham City won 0, Southampton won 3 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 29 Dec 2025, finished Birmingham City 1–1 Southampton.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.