Avaí vs Athletic Club: predictions, H2H and market odds

Avaí have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.02 expected goals for, 1.05 against). Athletic Club have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.44 expected goals for, 1.78 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Avaí's recent matches and 70% of Athletic Club's; 40% and 80% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 3 meetings Avaí won 1, Athletic Club won 2 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 28 Jun 2026, finished Athletic Club 1–0 Avaí.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 39%. Kepler's model projects 1.36–1.02 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 53%.