Kepler

FixturesLigue 1 · France · Round 4

Kick-off: Sat, 12 Sept 2026 · 18:45 UTCStadium: Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps, Auxerre

Auxerre

1 – 0Full time

Nice

Auxerre vs Nice head to head

In their last 6 meetings Auxerre won 2, Nice won 1 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 10 May 2026, finished Auxerre 2–1 Nice.

2Wins

3Draws

1Wins

10 May 2026AuxerreNice212-1
23 Aug 2025NiceAuxerre313-1
14 Mar 2025NiceAuxerre111-1
18 Aug 2024AuxerreNice212-1
3 Mar 2023NiceAuxerre111-1
16 Oct 2022AuxerreNice111-1

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Auxerre vs Nice predicted score

Expected goals

1.27–1.24

Most likely score

1–1

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	58%	58%
Over 2.5	53%	50%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Auxerre vs Nice odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.78	Unibet	57.6%
No	2.20	Betfair	42.4%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	2.04	Unibet	50.3%
Under 2.5	1.97	1xbet	49.7%

odds updated 18:37 UTC · 10 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

François Letexier

France

Yellow cards: 3.0 per match
Red cards: 0.5 per match
Fouls: 17.8 per match
Penalties: 0.0 per match

Matches this season: 4

Kepler in Ligue 1

9 settled picks · ROI −5.2% · average CLV +0.36%

Full track record →