Auxerre vs Nice: predictions, H2H and market odds

Auxerre have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.9 conceded (1.45 expected goals for, 1.65 against). Nice have won 0, drawn 7 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.02 expected goals for, 1.26 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of Auxerre's recent matches and 60% of Nice's; 70% and 30% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 6 meetings Auxerre won 2, Nice won 1 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 10 May 2026, finished Auxerre 2–1 Nice.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 50%. Kepler's model projects 1.27–1.24 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.