Atlético GO vs Sport Recife: predictions, H2H and market odds

Atlético GO have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.7 conceded (1.16 expected goals for, 1.12 against). Sport Recife have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.13 expected goals for, 1.09 against).

Both teams scored in 30% of Atlético GO's recent matches and 80% of Sport Recife's; 50% and 90% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 3 meetings Atlético GO won 1, Sport Recife won 0 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 19 Jun 2026, finished Sport Recife 1–1 Atlético GO.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 48%. Kepler's model projects 1.30–0.97 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.