Atlético de Madrid vs Villarreal: predictions, H2H and market odds

Atlético de Madrid have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.11 expected goals for, 1.46 against). Villarreal have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.43 expected goals for, 1.23 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Atlético de Madrid's recent matches and 80% of Villarreal's; 60% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 10 meetings Atlético de Madrid won 3, Villarreal won 2 and 5 ended level. The most recent, on 24 May 2026, finished Villarreal 5–1 Atlético de Madrid.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.