Kepler

FixturesSerie A · Brazil · Round 28

Kick-off: Sun, 20 Sept 2026 · 22:30 UTCStadium: Arena de Baixada, Curitiba

Athletico PR

2 – 1Full time

Bahia

Athletico PR vs Bahia line-ups

Athletico PR (3-4-2-1): Mycael – Dantas, Juan Felipe Aguirre, Arthur Dias – Gilberto, Wadson, Luiz Gustavo, Lucas Esquivel – Leozinho, Stiven Mendoza – Kerwin Vargas.

Bahia (4-3-3): Ronaldo – Luciano Juba, Kanu, David Duarte, Marcos Victor – Rodrigo Nestor, Nicolás Acevedo, Erick – Erick Pulga, Alejo Veliz, Ademir.

Out for Athletico PR: Alejandro García , Claudio, Gastón Benavídez, Gilberto Junior, João Cruz, Kevin Viveros. Out for Bahia: Léo Vieira , Michel Araújo , Cristian Olivera.

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

FixturesSerie A · Brazil · Round 28

Kick-off: Sun, 20 Sept 2026 · 22:30 UTCStadium: Arena de Baixada, Curitiba

Athletico PR

2 – 1Full time

Bahia

Athletico PR vs Bahia line-ups

Athletico PR (3-4-2-1): Mycael – Dantas, Juan Felipe Aguirre, Arthur Dias – Gilberto, Wadson, Luiz Gustavo, Lucas Esquivel – Leozinho, Stiven Mendoza – Kerwin Vargas.

Bahia (4-3-3): Ronaldo – Luciano Juba, Kanu, David Duarte, Marcos Victor – Rodrigo Nestor, Nicolás Acevedo, Erick – Erick Pulga, Alejo Veliz, Ademir.

Out for Athletico PR: Alejandro García , Claudio, Gastón Benavídez, Gilberto Junior, João Cruz, Kevin Viveros. Out for Bahia: Léo Vieira , Michel Araújo , Cristian Olivera.

Line-ups

Confirmed

As announced by the clubs.

Athletico PR3-4-2-1

Coach · Odair Hellmann

1Mycael
25Dantas
33Aguirre
4Arthur Dias
12Gilberto
16Wadson
14Luiz Gustavo
37Esquivel
21Leozinho
7Stiven Mendoza
18Kerwin Vargas
1Ronaldo
46Luciano Juba
4Kanu
33David Duarte
44Marcos Victor
11Rodrigo Nestor
5Nicolás Acevedo
14Erick
16Erick Pulga
9Alejo Veliz
7Ademir

Bahia4-3-3

Coach · Rogério Ceni

Odair HellmannCoach

Rogério Ceni

RefereeAnderson Daronco

Athletico PR

Bench

23SantosGK
2Gilberto Júnior Leite dos SantosDF
3LéoDF
5FelipinhoDF
6Léo Derik DF
22Carlos Terán DF
10Bruno ZapelliMF
27Juan PortillaMF
47ChiquetiMF
53DuduMF
19Jorge RivaldoFW
70Renan PeixotoFW

Out

Alejandro García Pubic Bone Bruise
ClaudioMuscle Injury · until 7 Oct
Gastón BenavídezCalf Injury
Gilberto JuniorBruise On Ankle
João CruzYellow Card Suspension · until 7 Oct
Kevin ViverosYellow Card Suspension · until 7 Oct

Bahia

Bench

17Guido HerreraGK
3Marco MorenoDF
31Román GómezDF
66Zé GuilhermeDF
6Jean LucasMF
8Caio AlexandreMF
10Everton Ribeiro MF
57Kauê FurquimMF
12Willian JoséFW
23Mateo SanabriaFW
27EveraldoFW
77Ruan PabloFW

Out

Léo Vieira Knee Surgery
Michel Araújo Thigh Muscle Strain · until 7 Oct
Cristian OliveraYellow Card Suspension · until 7 Oct

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Athletico PR vs Bahia predicted score

Expected goals

1.61–1.09

Most likely score

1–1

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	59%	58%
Over 2.5	56%	50%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Athletico PR vs Bahia odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.70	bet365	57.9%
No	2.20	Betfair	42.1%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	1.94	Pinnacle	50.0%
Under 2.5	1.95	bet365	50.0%

odds updated 22:29 UTC · 7 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Anderson Daronco

Brazil

Yellow cards: 5.8 per match
Red cards: 0.39 per match
Fouls: 26.2 per match
Penalties: 0.39 per match

Matches this season: 18

Kepler in Serie A

15 settled picks · ROI −39.4% · average CLV +2.45%

Full track record →