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Kick-off: Fri, 4 Sept 2026 · 23:30 UTCStadium: Estádio Joaquim Portugal (São João Del Rei, Minas Gerais), São João Del Rei
Athletic Club and Vila Nova met on Friday, 4 September 2026 (Serie B); it finished Athletic Club 5–0 Vila Nova. The match was played at Estádio Joaquim Portugal (São João Del Rei, Minas Gerais), São João Del Rei.
Athletic Club have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (0.92 expected goals for, 1.52 against). Vila Nova have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (1.48 expected goals for, 1.16 against).
Both teams scored in 50% of Athletic Club's recent matches and 20% of Vila Nova's; 40% and 30% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 3 meetings Athletic Club won 0, Vila Nova won 1 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 4 May 2026, finished Vila Nova 1–1 Athletic Club.
With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 35%. Kepler's model projects 1.26–1.07 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
0Wins
1WinsAthletic Club vs Vila Nova was played on 4 September 2026 (Serie B).
The match was played at Estádio Joaquim Portugal (São João Del Rei, Minas Gerais), São João Del Rei.
No: it finished Athletic Club 5–0 Vila Nova. Before kickoff, the market had both teams to score at 46%, margin removed. Kepler's model gives 52%. Both teams scored in 50% of Athletic Club's recent matches and 20% of Vila Nova's.
Yes: it finished Athletic Club 5–0 Vila Nova. Before kickoff, the market had over 2.5 goals at 35%, margin removed. Kepler's model gives 48%. 40% of Athletic Club's recent matches and 30% of Vila Nova's went over 2.5 goals.
In their last 3 meetings Athletic Club won 0, Vila Nova won 1 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 4 May 2026, finished Vila Nova 1–1 Athletic Club.
Kepler's model expects 1.26–1.07 in expected goals, and the single most likely score is 1–1.
Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.
As announced by the clubs.
1Luan Polli
22Diogo Batista
3Jhonathan
4Lucas Belezi
5Felipe Negrucci
14Yago Santos
17Kauan Rodrigues
11Kauan Lindes
9Carlinhos
1Helton Leite
16Igor Cariús 
13Willian Formiga
3Pagnussat
22Hayner
10Gabriel
8Willian Maranhão
20Nathan Camargo
99Janderson
7André Luis
BrazilMatches this season: 4
