Kick-off: Thu, 1 Oct 2026 · 23:30 UTCStadium: Estádio Joaquim Portugal (São João Del Rei, Minas Gerais), São João Del Rei
Athletic Club and Sport Recife met on Thursday, 1 October 2026 (Serie B); it finished Athletic Club 1–2 Sport Recife. The match was played at Estádio Joaquim Portugal (São João Del Rei, Minas Gerais), São João Del Rei.
Athletic Club have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.34 expected goals for, 1.48 against). Sport Recife have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.14 expected goals for, 0.93 against).
Both teams scored in 50% of Athletic Club's recent matches and 70% of Sport Recife's; 60% and 80% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. Their only previous meeting in our data, on 11 Jun 2026, finished Sport Recife 1–1 Athletic Club.
With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 41%. Kepler's model projects 1.33–1.16 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 54%.
Athletic Club vs Sport Recife was played on 1 October 2026 (Serie B).
The match was played at Estádio Joaquim Portugal (São João Del Rei, Minas Gerais), São João Del Rei.
Yes: it finished Athletic Club 1–2 Sport Recife. Before kickoff, the market had both teams to score at 47%, margin removed. Kepler's model gives 54%. Both teams scored in 50% of Athletic Club's recent matches and 70% of Sport Recife's.
Yes: it finished Athletic Club 1–2 Sport Recife. Before kickoff, the market had over 2.5 goals at 41%, margin removed. 60% of Athletic Club's recent matches and 80% of Sport Recife's went over 2.5 goals.
Their only previous meeting in our data, on 11 Jun 2026, finished Sport Recife 1–1 Athletic Club.
Kepler's model expects 1.33–1.16 in expected goals, and the single most likely score is 1–1.
Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.
As announced by the clubs.
Matches this season: 11