Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: predictions, H2H and market odds

Aston Villa have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (1.31 expected goals for, 1.34 against). Nottingham Forest have won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.27 expected goals for, 1.20 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Aston Villa's recent matches and 70% of Nottingham Forest's; 60% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 8 meetings Aston Villa won 4, Nottingham Forest won 2 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 12 Apr 2026, finished Nottingham Forest 1–1 Aston Villa.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 49%. Kepler's model projects 1.53–1.13 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.