Aston Villa vs Arsenal: predictions, H2H and market odds

Aston Villa have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.9 conceded (1.41 expected goals for, 1.38 against). Arsenal have won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.5 conceded (1.45 expected goals for, 0.97 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Aston Villa's recent matches and 30% of Arsenal's; 70% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 10 meetings Aston Villa won 3, Arsenal won 6 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 30 Dec 2025, finished Arsenal 4–1 Aston Villa.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.