Kepler

FixturesSerie B · Italy · Round 5

Kick-off: Sat, 19 Sept 2026 · 17:30 UTCStadium: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno

Ascoli

3 – 1Full time

Avellino

Ascoli vs Avellino head to head

Ascoli and Avellino have not met in the matches we hold.

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Ascoli vs Avellino predicted score

Expected goals

1.13–0.78

Most likely score

1–0

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	52%	53%
Over 2.5	48%	44%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Ascoli vs Avellino odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.83	BetVictor	52.6%
No	2.00	bet365	47.4%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	2.18	Pinnacle	44.3%
Under 2.5	1.83	Sbo	55.8%

odds updated 16:30 UTC · 7 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Matteo Marchetti

Italy

Yellow cards: 4.5 per match
Red cards: 0.0 per match
Fouls: 24.0 per match
Penalties: 0.0 per match

Matches this season: 2

Kepler in Serie B

8 settled picks · ROI +44.1% · average CLV +0.43%

Full track record →