Arsenal vs Chelsea head to head

In their last 10 meetings Arsenal won 6, Chelsea won 1 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 1 Mar 2026, finished Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea.

6Wins

3Draws

1Wins

1 Mar 2026ArsenalChelsea212-1
30 Nov 2025ChelseaArsenal111-1
16 Mar 2025ArsenalChelsea101-0
10 Nov 2024ChelseaArsenal111-1
23 Apr 2024ArsenalChelsea505-0
21 Oct 2023ChelseaArsenal222-2
2 May 2023ArsenalChelsea313-1
6 Nov 2022ChelseaArsenal010-1
20 Apr 2022ChelseaArsenal242-4
22 Aug 2021ArsenalChelsea020-2

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Arsenal vs Chelsea predicted score

Expected goals

2.02–0.83

Most likely score

2–0

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	56%	58%
Over 2.5	60%	54%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Arsenal vs Chelsea odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.75	bet365	58.1%
No	2.25	Betfair	41.9%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	1.83	1xbet	54.4%
Under 2.5	2.15	Betfair	45.6%

odds updated 13:57 UTC · 9 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Chris Kavanagh

England

Yellow cards: 4.8 per match
Red cards: 0.6 per match
Fouls: 26.6 per match
Penalties: 0.0 per match

Matches this season: 5

Kepler in Premier League

11 settled picks · ROI −22.6% · average CLV −4.33%

Full track record →