América Mineiro vs Fortaleza: predictions, H2H and market odds

América Mineiro have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.9 conceded (1.26 expected goals for, 1.39 against). Fortaleza have won 4, drawn 6 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded (1.09 expected goals for, 0.99 against).

Both teams scored in 30% of América Mineiro's recent matches and 60% of Fortaleza's; 50% and 20% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 5 meetings América Mineiro won 2, Fortaleza won 3 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 16 Jun 2026, finished Fortaleza 0–3 América Mineiro.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 46%. Kepler's model projects 0.86–1.12 in expected goals, with 0–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 49%.