Kepler

FixturesLiga Portugal · Portugal · Round 7

Kick-off: Sat, 19 Sept 2026 · 17:00 UTCStadium: Complexo Desportivo do FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo

Alverca

1 – 0Full time

Rio Ave

Alverca vs Rio Ave head to head

In their last 2 meetings Alverca won 1, Rio Ave won 0 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 4 Apr 2026, finished Rio Ave 1–2 Alverca.

1Wins

1Draws

0Wins

4 Apr 2026Rio AveAlverca121-2
8 Nov 2025AlvercaRio Ave111-1

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Alverca vs Rio Ave predicted score

Expected goals

1.53–1.08

Most likely score

1–1

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	57%	50%
Over 2.5	46%	50%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Alverca vs Rio Ave odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.87	Betfair	50.4%
No	1.96	1xbet	49.6%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	2.02	Sbo	50.0%
Under 2.5	1.94	Pinnacle	50.0%

odds updated 16:30 UTC · 7 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Luís Carlos Mateus Filipe

Portugal

Yellow cards: 6.0 per match
Red cards: 0.0 per match
Fouls: 22.7 per match
Penalties: 0.67 per match

Matches this season: 3

Kepler in Liga Portugal

1 settled picks · ROI +83.0% · average CLV +2.15%

Full track record →