Kepler

FixturesLa Liga 2 · Spain · Round 9

Kick-off: Sun, 11 Oct 2026 · 14:15 UTCStadium: Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos, Almeria

Almería

3 – 0Full time

Leganés

Almería vs Leganés head to head

In their last 4 meetings Almería won 3, Leganés won 0 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 5 Apr 2026, finished Almería 2–1 Leganés.

3Wins

1Draws

0Wins

5 Apr 2026AlmeríaLeganés212-1
22 Nov 2025LeganésAlmería030-3
29 May 2022LeganésAlmería222-2
29 Oct 2021AlmeríaLeganés101-0

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Almería vs Leganés predicted score

Expected goals

1.88–0.91

Most likely score

1–0

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	56%	54%
Over 2.5	58%	56%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Almería vs Leganés odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.75	WilliamHill	54.2%
No	2.16	1xbet	45.8%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	1.72	bet365	56.1%
Under 2.5	2.31	1xbet	43.9%

odds updated 19:05 UTC · 7 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

Start 14-day free trial

Free for 14 days. Cancel any time.

Referee

Gonzalo Romero Freixas

Spain

Yellow cards: 5.2 per match
Red cards: 0.17 per match
Fouls: 31.0 per match
Penalties: 0.33 per match

Matches this season: 6

Kepler in La Liga 2

7 settled picks · ROI −72.6% · average CLV −1.45%

Full track record →