Kepler

FixturesLa Liga 2 · Spain · Round 8

Kick-off: Sat, 3 Oct 2026 · 14:15 UTCStadium: Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos, Almeria

Almería

2 – 1Full time

Burgos

Almería vs Burgos head to head

In their last 6 meetings Almería won 3, Burgos won 2 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 9 May 2026, finished Burgos 0–0 Almería.

3Wins

1Draws

2Wins

9 May 2026BurgosAlmería000-0
14 Dec 2025AlmeríaBurgos121-2
21 Mar 2025BurgosAlmería313-1
5 Oct 2024AlmeríaBurgos202-0
30 Apr 2022BurgosAlmería020-2
7 Nov 2021AlmeríaBurgos202-0

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Almería vs Burgos predicted score

Expected goals

1.54–0.97

Most likely score

1–0

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	52%	50%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Almería vs Burgos odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	2.00	bet365	50.0%
No	1.86	1xbet	50.0%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	1.97	Sbo	50.6%
Under 2.5	1.98	1xbet	49.4%

odds updated 14:04 UTC · 7 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Iosu Galech Apezteguía

Spain

Yellow cards: 4.8 per match
Red cards: 0.17 per match
Fouls: 27.2 per match
Penalties: 0.5 per match

Matches this season: 6

Kepler in La Liga 2

7 settled picks · ROI −72.6% · average CLV −1.45%

Full track record →