AFC Bournemouth vs Brentford: predictions, H2H and market odds

AFC Bournemouth have won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.19 expected goals for, 1.19 against). Brentford have won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.26 expected goals for, 1.44 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of AFC Bournemouth's recent matches and 60% of Brentford's; 60% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 8 meetings AFC Bournemouth won 0, Brentford won 5 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 3 Mar 2026, finished AFC Bournemouth 0–0 Brentford.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 59%. Kepler's model projects 1.57–1.37 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.