Accrington Stanley vs Crawley Town: predictions, H2H and market odds

Accrington Stanley have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 2.3 conceded (1.49 expected goals for, 1.70 against). Crawley Town have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.12 expected goals for, 1.03 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Accrington Stanley's recent matches and 40% of Crawley Town's; 80% and 30% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 4 meetings Accrington Stanley won 0, Crawley Town won 2 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 25 Apr 2026, finished Accrington Stanley 3–3 Crawley Town.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 56%. Kepler's model projects 1.36–1.12 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.