Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town: predictions, H2H and market odds

Accrington Stanley have won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded (1.51 expected goals for, 1.49 against). Cheltenham Town have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded (1.15 expected goals for, 1.59 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Accrington Stanley's recent matches and 90% of Cheltenham Town's; 70% and 90% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 8 meetings Accrington Stanley won 2, Cheltenham Town won 3 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 31 Jan 2026, finished Accrington Stanley 3–1 Cheltenham Town.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 51%. Kepler's model projects 1.57–1.32 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.