AC Milan vs Lecce head to head

In their last 8 meetings AC Milan won 6, Lecce won 0 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 18 Jan 2026, finished AC Milan 1–0 Lecce.

6Wins

2Draws

0Wins

18 Jan 2026AC MilanLecce101-0
29 Aug 2025LecceAC Milan020-2
8 Mar 2025LecceAC Milan232-3
27 Sept 2024AC MilanLecce303-0
6 Apr 2024AC MilanLecce303-0
11 Nov 2023LecceAC Milan222-2
23 Apr 2023AC MilanLecce202-0
14 Jan 2023LecceAC Milan222-2

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

AC Milan vs Lecce predicted score

Expected goals

1.78–0.63

Most likely score

1–0

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	50%	47%
Over 2.5	54%	60%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

AC Milan vs Lecce odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	2.09	Marathonbet	46.7%
No	1.75	Betfair	53.3%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	1.63	1xbet	60.4%
Under 2.5	2.48	1xbet	39.6%

odds updated 18:38 UTC · 7 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Federico La Penna

Italy

Yellow cards: 2.5 per match
Red cards: 0.0 per match
Fouls: 28.0 per match
Penalties: 0.0 per match

Matches this season: 2

Kepler in Serie A

12 settled picks · ROI +8.8% · average CLV +0.68%

Full track record →