Wrexham vs Southampton: predictions, H2H and market odds

Wrexham have won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.24 expected goals for, 1.35 against). Southampton have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.22 expected goals for, 1.31 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Wrexham's recent matches and 90% of Southampton's; 50% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 2 meetings Wrexham won 0, Southampton won 2 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 7 Apr 2026, finished Wrexham 1–5 Southampton.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 56%. Kepler's model projects 1.51–1.90 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.