Werder Bremen vs Paderborn: predictions, H2H and market odds

Werder Bremen have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.80 expected goals for, 1.57 against). Paderborn have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.27 expected goals for, 1.79 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of Werder Bremen's recent matches and 50% of Paderborn's; 60% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 2 meetings Werder Bremen won 1, Paderborn won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 22 Jan 2022, finished Paderborn 3–4 Werder Bremen.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 64%. Kepler's model projects 1.24–0.58 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.